Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 122.754926 139.869906 158.824875 181.428197 207.717880 237.413039 273.610981
2025-12-14 97.014322 118.886415 145.176252 179.307374 222.741365 276.557737 348.891634
2025-12-21 83.709083 108.003290 138.960484 181.707855 239.839150 317.046831 428.881939
2025-12-28 76.291553 102.670897 137.941389 189.216937 262.969018 366.931718 527.658967
2026-01-04 69.476952 96.871119 135.017504 192.966143 280.453958 410.364181 623.143690
2026-01-11 62.556510 89.892020 129.302921 191.488284 289.421781 441.659914 704.182921
2026-01-18 58.405155 86.334278 127.941176 196.001668 307.613913 488.978513 817.887883
2026-01-25 53.754625 81.455552 123.929408 195.666693 317.644481 523.941070 915.661752
2026-02-01 50.282500 77.998394 121.671202 197.718536 331.600495 566.975853 1034.475076
2026-02-08 46.084494 72.953576 116.310677 193.854677 334.626673 590.793349 1120.561164
2026-02-15 43.415412 70.137976 114.298776 195.439773 347.403759 633.856447 1251.476050
2026-02-22 41.101689 67.690434 112.637299 197.381339 360.926052 679.925931 1396.361976
2026-03-01 37.182655 62.428353 106.087998 190.580365 358.691318 698.282771 1493.831500
2026-03-08 34.324710 58.797027 102.136659 188.337044 365.463814 736.852420 1647.246969
2026-03-15 32.451970 56.730270 100.777665 190.874057 382.256568 799.368287 1871.661440
2026-03-22 31.450143 56.143144 102.076840 198.812001 411.577667 894.662008 2201.346458
2026-03-29 30.049696 54.664414 101.497748 202.776167 432.745905 974.979110 2512.891379
2026-04-05 28.167679 52.085810 98.496152 201.213510 441.083859 1025.913364 2756.613712
2026-04-12 27.114988 51.028577 98.422706 205.986132 464.972954 1120.059165 3152.205508
2026-04-19 25.648005 49.013047 96.184537 205.631891 476.373732 1183.978823 3474.027984
2026-04-26 24.535372 47.619929 95.108691 207.801817 494.412265 1269.259025 3890.225755
2026-05-03 22.973655 45.169000 91.550433 203.715725 495.736752 1308.211756 4162.509977
2026-05-10 22.011538 43.900304 90.443215 205.391921 512.597049 1395.407549 4633.108224